Signals
Edge scanner — mispricings and flow computed live from Polymarket data. Ranked by severity. Click through to the event for the full book and chart.
$1.8MEWC 2026 CS2: Winner
Overround +307.9pp↓ -1.0ppRewards $17/day
$7.9MUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Overround +655.0pp
$5.5MEPL: 2027 Champion
Overround +204.3pp
$1.2MThe International 2026: Winner
Overround +208.1pp
$1.7MWhich company has best AI model end of August?
Overround +551.2pp
$75.6KITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Matthew Dellavedova vs Kosuke Ogura
↓ -72.9pp
$688MRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Overround +42.0pp
$3.2MDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage
↑ +41.4pp- $642.5K
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage
↑ +35.0ppOI/Vol 0.6× 
$131.2KPGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner
Overround +28.1ppOI/Vol 0.9×
$5.4MLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Overround +26.6ppReversal -1.1pp
$518.7KElon Musk # tweets August 13 - August 15, 2026?
↑ +25.0pp
$168.3KBitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
↓ -16.0pp
$64.2KHighest temperature in Paris on August 15?
↑ +15.5ppOverround +7.3ppRewards $67/day
$14.6MUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
↓ -13.1pp
$95.5KHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
↑ +11.0ppOverround +1.3pp
$78.1KHighest temperature in Madrid on August 15?
Overround +7.5ppOI/Vol 0.5×Rewards $54/day
$44MPro Football: 2027 Champion
Overround +5.5pp- $43.6K
ITF W15 Tianjin 2 Women: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yushan Shao
↑ +9.4ppOI/Vol 0.7× 
$4.2MWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
↑ +8.3ppOverround +1.6pp
$302.5KUFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)
↓ -8.0pp
$7.5MFed rate hike in 2026?
↓ -7.0pp
$107.7KLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
↑ +6.0ppOI/Vol 0.8×- $66.5K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
↓ -6.0ppOI/Vol 0.9× 
$17.7MNBA: 2027 Champion
Overround +4.8pp- $944.8K
Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Overround +4.6pp - $432.9K
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Overround +3.9pp 
$181.3KHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Overround +3.4pp
$1.3BDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Underround -3.4ppRewards $58/day
$67.3KHighest temperature in Beijing on August 15?
Overround +3.0pp↓ accelerating -2.1pp
$70.2KHighest temperature in London on August 15?
Overround +3.0pp
$54.4KHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
Underround -2.6ppOI/Vol 0.6×
$185KCincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic
OI/Vol 1.0×↓ -2.5pp
$47.2KCounter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
OI/Vol 1.0×- $315.5K
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
OI/Vol 0.9×↑ +3.0pp - $63.5K
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
OI/Vol 0.9×↓ -1.0pp - $135.9K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
OI/Vol 0.9×↑ +1.0pp - $141.7K
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
OI/Vol 0.9×↑ +2.0pp - $47.1K
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
OI/Vol 0.9× - $67.1K
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakina
OI/Vol 0.9×↓ -4.0pp - $279K
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D
OI/Vol 0.9×↑ +2.0pp 
$229.8KEthereum above ___ on August 15?
OI/Vol 0.8×- $1.2M
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
OI/Vol 0.8× - $88.6K
Bitcoin price on August 15?
OI/Vol 0.8×Overround +0.5pp - $136.1K
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stage
OI/Vol 0.8×↑ +4.0pp - $150.6K
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
OI/Vol 0.8×↑ +1.0pp - $94.6K
Bitcoin above ___ on August 17?
OI/Vol 0.8× 
$28.6MBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Overround +2.3ppRewards $138/day
$23.5MIran leadership change by...?
Rewards $100/day- $1.3M
Dota 2: OG vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Group Stage
↑ +4.5ppOI/Vol 0.5× - $169.1K
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage
↓ -4.0pp - $129.2K
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
↓ -3.0ppOI/Vol 0.7× 
$8.3MIran full airspace closure by...?
↓ -2.5pp
$75.2KHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
↑ +2.5ppOverround +0.7pp- $59.1K
Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
Overround +2.2pp - $507.2K
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage
↑ +2.0ppOI/Vol 0.6× 
$123.1MBrazil Presidential Election
Overround +1.7ppRewards $1/day
$48.5MHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Overround +1.5pp
$3.6MNext Prime Minister of Sweden
Overround +1.5pp
$119.1MNext French Presidential Election
Underround -1.4pp
$6.4M2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Overround +1.3pp
$33.3MFed Decision in September?
Overround +1.0pp
$249.5KWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Overround +1.0pp↑ +1.0pp- $52.6M
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Rewards $0/day 
$932.2KWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
Rewards $0/day- $171K
Bitcoin above ___ on August 16?
OI/Vol 0.7× - $290.9K
What price will Ethereum hit August 10-16?
OI/Vol 0.7× - $834.7K
Bitcoin above ___ on August 15?
OI/Vol 0.6× - $867.3K
What price will Bitcoin hit August 10-16?
OI/Vol 0.6× 
$501.1KWhat price will XRP hit in August?
OI/Vol 0.5×- $6.4M
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
OI/Vol 0.5× - $1.5M
What price will Ethereum hit in August?
OI/Vol 0.5× 
$141.7KHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
↑ +1.7pp
$6.2MWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
↑ +1.5pp
$3.4MStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
↓ -1.0pp
$19.3MWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
↑ +1.0ppUnderround -0.9pp
$7MClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
↓ -1.0pp
$684.8MPresidential Election Winner 2028
Underround -0.7pp